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2018 A Turning Point For First-Time Home Buyers?

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

What will the 2018 Real Estate market be like for the many thousands of buyers out there trying to find the perfect house?  The following article from "Realtor.com" will give you some insight into what lies ahead for 2018 homebuyers!

Aspiring home buyers have long known about the maddening lack of homes on the market. And despite the strong economy that's propelling more and more people into the home-buying market, the lack of inventory is crimping existing home sales.

Sales of homes that have previously been lived in hit 5.57 million in December, according to the most recent National Association of Realtors® report. That's down 3.6% from November to December, but up 1.1% from December 2017.

(Realtor.com® looked only at the seasonally adjusted numbers in the report. These have been smoothed out over 12 months to account for seasonal fluctuations.)

However, 2017 as a whole was a record year, boasting the most existing homes sold since the boom year of 2006, more than a decade ago. Sales were up 1.1% over 2016—and would have been more if there had been more properties for sale.

“The inventory of homes on the market is at its lowest level in [at least] two decades," says realtor.com® Senior Economist Joseph Kirchner. “It’s a problem because it means people are not finding homes on the market that meet their needs. So they’re just not buying.”

The lack of supply has also been steadily pushing up prices. The median price tag on an existing home was $246,800. The cost went up an almost unnoticeable 0.16% from November, but was up 5.8% from December 2017.

"The pool of interested buyers at the end of the year significantly outweighed what was available for sale," NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said in a statement.

The median cost of an oh-so-in-demand single-family home was $248,100 in December—down just $100 from November. Year over year, prices were up 5.8%. Sales of the standalone homes, often found in suburbs, were down 2.6% from November, but increased 1% over December 2017.

Condos and co-ops were a little cheaper at $236,500 in December. Prices were down 1.2% from November, but up 6.4% year over year. Meanwhile, sales were down 11.6% from the previous month, but up 1.7% over the previous year.

However, prices were still significantly less (about 35.9% to be exact) than the median cost of a newly built abode at $334,900 in November, according to the most recent data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

Despite the overwhelming demand for affordably priced abodes, only about 10.9% of the sales in December were $100,000 or under. About 42% were in the $100,000 to $250,000 range, while another 34% cost between $250,00 and $500,000. An additional 13.1% of sales were more than $500,000.

The cheapest existing homes were in the Midwest, where the median price was $191,400 in December. That's up 7.8% from a year ago.

The region was followed by the South, at $221,200, where prices rose 5.8% over the previous year, and the Northeast, at $261,400, where prices jumped 3%. The most expensive region by far was the West, where the median home price was $367,400—and prices were up 7.3% from last year.

“Rising wages and the expanding economy should lay the foundation for 2018 being the turning point towards an uptick in sales to first-time buyers,”

NAR's Yun said in a statement. “However, if inventory conditions fail to improve, higher mortgage rates and prices will further eat into affordability and prevent many renters from becoming homeowners.”

 

Have An Awesome Week!

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AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!! 

2018 Housing Forecast

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

2018 has started out to be a challenging year for homebuyers in the Eugene and Springfield market area.  The issue with the current market is certainly not demand.  Our current home market problem stems from lack of inventory of homes for sale.  This is especially true in the price ranges of below $300,000, where the high demand for housing exists.  With a current inventory of less that 1.6 months, this shortage has left hundreds of would-be home buyers out in the dark.  The lack of inventory and high demand has created such a shortage that when a home comes on the market that is priced well in the price range of high demand, there is typically a bidding war taking place.  This of course is leading to the situation where many homes are now selling for above asking price.  If this trend continues in 2018, it could be a challenging market for buyers.

For anyone thinking about selling a home, this is a dream market.  In close to 30 years of selling homes in the Eugene/Springfield market area, I have never witnessed this strong of a sellers market.  This is a market that clearly has demand outpacing supply.  My suggestion to anyone in the Eugene/Springfield area who is considering the sale of their home is to get it on the market now.  January through April should be the kind of market that home sellers of the past could only dream about.

Have An Awesome Week!



AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!! 

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Haas Real Estate Team
Keller Williams Realty Eugene and Springfield
2645 Suzanne Way Suite 2A
Eugene OR 97408
Direct: (541) 349-2620
Fax: 541-687-6411

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