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Good Monday Morning!

Mortgage interest rates continue to decline, but at a snail's pace. Any relief in mortgage rates is a relief, but so far, the decline does not seem to be enough to kick off a revival in the housing market, either locally or nationally. The real truth is that home payment numbers need to come down. This is either going to happen with further rate reductions or with housing prices dropping. A combination of the two would be the best case, and that is what seems to be taking place right now. With the anticipation of the Fed lowering rates in September, this might just be the best time to make your move with a home purchase. My reasoning is that with a mortgage rate reduction creating more demand, this may halt home prices from coming down further with an inventory of homes that remains very limited. My suggestion is to not gamble and make your move on a home purchase soon. The following is a recent article from "NAR".

Some would-be home buyers are waiting for borrowing costs to drop even lower. Is that a wise strategy?

Mortgage rates have remained in the mid-6% range in recent weeks—the 30-year fixed-rate loan was at a 6.46% average this week, according to Freddie Mac. But some aspiring home buyers may still be waiting for even lower rates before they make a move, hoping to get a better deal on borrowing costs, even though rates are dramatically lower than they were a year ago, when they were above 7%.   

“Although mortgage rates have stayed relatively flat over the past couple of weeks, softer incoming economic data suggest rates will gently slope downward through the end of the year,” says Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “Earlier this month, rates plunged and are now lingering just under 6.5%, which has not been enough to motivate potential home buyers. We expect rates likely will need to decline another percentage point to generate buyer demand.”

Despite recent steadiness in rates, mortgage applications for home purchases fell 5% this week and are 8% lower than a year ago, the Mortgage Bankers Association reports. “Even with lower mortgage rates, potential buyers might be more selective now that there are more options,” says Joel Kan, an economist with the MBA.

The National Association of REALTORS® reported this week that For Sale inventory of existing homes has risen by 20% compared to a year ago, giving buyers more choices and increasing seller competition.

“The other point to note is that, yes, rates are lower—but they’re still 6.5%, which is not low for those borrowers out there with sub-5% rates,” Kan says. The majority of current mortgage holders have rates below 5%—many even below 3%—from when they purchased a home years earlier. This has made many homeowners reluctant to move.

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

2267 Willona Dr, Eugene, OR 

Price: $435,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 2.0    Sq Ft: 1248

This charming 1940's home has been tastefully updated from top to bottom. Features include beautifully refinished hardwood floors, new composition roof in 2019, new gas HVAC system with central air conditioning & new ductwork in 2020, new flooring i... View this property >> 

 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Good Monday Morning!

Both the national and local housing markets are anything but stable right now. The anticipation of some possible further mortgage rate decreases has most home buyers sitting back and waiting, while home sellers are more anxious than ever to have those buyers looking and purchasing their homes. Even though mortgage rates are down slightly, it has not been enough to activate the masses of home buyers who are wanting to buy but either can't afford to buy right now or think that by waiting they might see both lower mortgage rates and lower home prices. Although this is a possibility, it is certainly a gamble.

The truth is that right now may be the best time to purchase a home. Rates are lower, and even though the inventory of homes for sale remains low, homes for sale are taking longer to sell, and many homes are just sitting. This is a far different scenario than what we saw last year and earlier this year, with homes selling rapidly and bidding wards being the rule.

Right now, home prices are coming down, and the potential for negotiating on the price and terms of a home purchase is the best it has been in years. The reality is that if we do see a sizeable reduction in mortgage loan rates in the near future, this will increase buyer demand, and with the already low inventory of homes, this may put us right back to where we were last year with high demand, bidding wars, and higher home prices that eat up any gains that buyers received with lower mortgage rates. My advice right now is that if you are looking to purchase a home, start looking actively again. You just might be pleasantly surprised at how much more affordable homes are right now.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

6883 Forsythia Street, Springfield, OR 

Price: $529,000    Beds: 4    Baths: 2.5    Sq Ft: 2037

This home offers a spacious main living area with soaring ceilings, a cozy gas fireplace, and large windows providing plenty of natural light throughout. The kitchen is fully equipped with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a functional... View this property >> 

 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Statistics For July 2024

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

The statistics for July home sales in Lane County just came out. The statistics show us what appears to be a fairly healthy home sales market in all categories, with the exception of the increasing inventory of homes for sale. The numbers show that home sales increased, that pending sales increased, and that there was only a moderate increase in home values. All of these are positive signs. The reality is that for anyone who works and is deeply involved with home sales in our local area, these numbers are not showing the true market. When we see the home sales numbers for August, maybe we will see a market reflection that is more indicative of the current state of home sales in Lane County. What I am seeing is a rapidly slowing market, far less home buyer enthusiasm, and one that reminds me of the last big dip in our local market in 2008–2010. Hopefully, this is just a short blip in the market, but I have to wonder if this is the beginning of a serious market downturn. The culprit here is the economy. Inflation has driven up home prices and, at the same time, kept mortgage interest rates higher. Inflation has also eaten up the average person's and their family’s money reserves and decreased their spending ability because of the increased living costs. Without some relief from inflation and mortgage interest rates, the housing market may continue to slide. There is a national shortage of housing, so any relief from inflation and higher mortgage interest rates could certainly bring about another housing boom. Time will tell which direction this market goes! Here are the home sales statistics for Lane County in July 2024.

New Listings

New listings (507) increased 10.9% from the 457 listed in July 2023, and increased 0.8% from the 503 listed in June 2024.

Pending Sales

Pending sales (385) decreased 1.0% from the 389 offers accepted in July 2023, and increased 0.5% from the 383 offers accepted in June 2024.

Closed Sales

Closed sales (361) increased 4.6% from the 345 closings in July 2023, and increased 13.2% from the 319 closings in June 2024.

Inventory and Time on Market

Inventory decreased to 2.5 months in July. Total market time increased to 48 days.

Year-to-Date Summary

Comparing the first seven months of 2024 to the same period in 2023, new listings (3,087) increased 7.9%, pending sales (2,354) increased 2.7%, and closed sales (2,116) increased 2.2%.

Average and Median Sale Prices

Comparing 2024 to 2023 through July, the average sale price has increased 1.9% from $467,800 to $476,800. In the same comparison, the median sale price has increased 1.9% from $431,000 to $439,300.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

1640 Umpqua Ave, Eugene, OR 

Price: $1,100,000    Beds: 4    Baths: 3.5    Sq Ft: 2978

Beautiful custom Nordic home, with great attention to detail in the highly desirable Nine's neighborhood! Spacious lofty ceilings throughout the home, with two beautiful master suites on the main floor! Gourmet kitchen with commercial grade applianc... View this property >> 

 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Fed May Reduce Rates In The Near Future

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

With all of the ugly economic news we are currently listening to, there has been a ray of hope with mortgage interest rates declining. Any reduction with mortgage rates is great news, as higher rates have been an instrumental part of the nation's sluggish home sales market. There has also been mention of the fact that the Fed may reduce rates in the near future. Time will tell the story here, but without further reductions in mortgage rates, don't look for any huge improvements anytime soon with home sales. The following is a recent article on mortgage rates from "NAR".

Real estate news and top headlines from major news sources into a real estate context each weekday, alongside breaking news from NAR, business tips, and industry trends.

Home buyers and refinancers had the opportunity to lock in the lowest mortgage rates since early February this week, averaging 6.73%. Plus, the average mortgage rate is now lower than a year ago.

The Federal Reserve also suggested this week that a possible cut to its key benchmark rate could take place this fall.

That may prompt some prospective home buyers to hold out for even lower mortgage rates. But Lisa Sturtevant, Bright MLS chief economist, says that hoping that rates to head much lower could be a miscalculation.

“The Federal Reserve will almost certainly cut rates in September—the first cut since 2020,” Sturtevant says. “However, there is no direct ‘cause-and-effect’ relationship between the Fed rate cuts and a drop in mortgage rates.” What’s more, “expectations about a September rate cut are already baked in, which is why we’re already starting to see mortgage rates start to come down.”

Still, Sturtevant does expect mortgage rates to continue to fall throughout the second half of the year and end the year at an average of about 6.4% for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage. “Rates will continue to fall in 2025, though it is likely that they will remain above 6% through the end of next year,” she says.

Housing affordability will remain a top challenge for home buyers, who have been facing higher home prices, says Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. But “a recent moderation in home price growth and increases in housing inventory are a welcoming sign for potential home buyers,” he says.

Indeed, the National Association of REALTORS® recently reported that more opportunities for home buyers appear to be opening up in the market, and contract signings are already responding, rising nearly 5% in June.

Mortgage Rates This Week

Freddie Mac reports the following national averages with mortgage rates for the week ending Aug. 1:

30-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 6.73%, dropping from last week’s 6.78% average. Last year at this time, 30-year rates averaged 6.90%.

15-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 5.99%, falling from last week’s 6.07% average. A year ago, 15-year rates averaged 6.25%.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

3469 River Pointe Dr, Eugene, OR 

Price: $1,169,000    Beds: 4    Baths: 3.2    Sq Ft: 3363

This is a Gorgeous and extremely well kept home in the highly sought after River Pointe neighborhood of North Gilham. This home not only has many high end extras, but it has a floor plan that suits many lifestyles. The spacious Primary Bedroom is on... View this property >> 

 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

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Haas Real Estate Team
Keller Williams Realty Eugene and Springfield
2645 Suzanne Way Suite 2A
Eugene OR 97408
Direct: (541) 349-2620
Fax: 541-687-6411

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