Real Estate Information Archive

Blog

Displaying blog entries 1-4 of 4

Why Do Homes Sit On The Market With Low Inventory?

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

We now find ourselves in a very strange Real Estate market. The inventory of homes for sale remains extremely low, both nationally and here in the Eugene and Springfield area. Typically, low inventory brings on a strong sellers market, but not right now. Even with few homes to choose from, buyers are slow to pull the trigger on home purchases. Mortgage interest rates remain elevated, but they are lower than the level we had at the same time last year. So, why do we have a more sluggish home sales market? The answer most likely comes from a lack of consumer confidence. High inflation rates over a long period of time have eaten away at savings and left most people with less money in their pockets at the end of the month. We just have not seen a great deal of positive news in regards to the economy, and the combination of the two is creating concern for would-be home buyers. There is a huge pent-up demand for housing, and most likely, any positive economic events will turn our current sluggish housing market into a much more active one. The following article is a recent article from "NAR" that describes our present national housing market.

Mortgage rates have been holding mostly steady this month, after dropping nearly a half percent from their peak earlier this year, Freddie Mac reports. “Despite these lower rates, buyers continue to pause, as reflected in tumbling new and existing home sales data,” says Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist.

The National Association of REALTORS® reported this week that existing-home sales in June fell 5.4% compared to a year earlier. New-home sales also fell, down 7.4% compared to a year ago and the lowest pace since November 2023. 

“Many potential buyers are remaining in a holding pattern due to elevated mortgage rates that averaged near 7% in June,” says Carl Harris, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders. “However, moderating inflation suggests lower interest rates in the months ahead and that should bring more buyers off the sidelines.”

That could help home buyers handle the higher home prices, with existing-home prices surging to an all-time high in June, reading a median of $426,900. At this week’s average 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 6.78%, with a 20% down payment, a household would face a monthly mortgage payment on a median-priced existing home of $2,222, says Jessica Lautz, NAR’s deputy chief economist. Housing affordability and still-high inflation remain pressing issues holding many would-be home buyers back.

Indeed, real estate agents in the Mid-Atlantic region report that affordability was the main reason their clients paused their home search over the past six months, with about half citing high prices, not enough homes in their price range, or high mortgage rates.

“With mortgage rates hovering around 7% and home prices continuing to rise, financing is a growing challenge for buyers, and this is beginning to impact a buyer’s ability to make it across the finish line,” says Lisa Sturtevant, Bright MLS’s chief economist. Bright MLS data shows that a rising percentage of sellers—14%, as of June—had a contract fall through due to the buyer’s inability to secure financing.

Mortgage Rates This Week

Freddie Mac reports the following national averages with mortgage rates for the week ending July 25:

  • · 30-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 6.78%, slightly higher than last week’s 6.77% average. A year ago, 30-year rates averaged 6.81%.
  • · 15-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 6.07%, rising slightly from last week’s 6.05% average. A year ago, 15-year rates averaged 6.11%.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

5580 Tradition Alley, Eugene, OR 

Price: $465,000    Beds: 3    Baths: 2.0    Sq Ft: 1812

This single level home has been tastefully updated and is located in a quiet West Eugene neighborhood. Features include a newer 3-head ductless heat pump AC/heating system, a spacious living room, large bedrooms & a 2-car garage with built-in storag... View this property >> 

 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Good News On The National Real Estate Front!

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

There is some good news on the national Real Estate front! Mortgage interest rates dipped slightly last week, and this could possibly lead to rates coming down even further. Both nationally and locally, the Real Estate market has become more sluggish as of late, and my thoughts are that the one thing to start bringing the Real Estate market back is mortgage interest rate decreases. We will know more in the weeks ahead. The following is a recent article from “Realtor.com”.

Mortgage rates dipped this week, with the average rate for a 30-year fixed home loan going from 6.89% last week to 6.77% for the week ending July 18, according to Freddie Mac.

“The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fell to its lowest level since mid-March, dropping 12 basis points from last week,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said in a statement. “Mortgage rates are headed in the right direction and the economy remains resilient, two positive incremental signs for the housing market.”

This should come as good news, but Khater also points out the following: “Homebuyers have yet to respond to lower rates, as purchase application demand is still roughly 5% below Spring, when rates were approximately the same. This is not uncommon: sometimes as rates decline, demand weakens, and the apparent paradox is driven by buyers making sure rates don’t decline further before they decide to purchase.”

Mortgage rates take a turn

For the past few months, inflated mortgage rates have sidelined both buyers and sellers, leaving them in a state of limbo.

“This week’s data revealed a housing market in a holding pattern,” notes Realtor.com® economist Ralph McLaughlin in his analysis. “The small movements we do observe this week favor buyers: no price growth, a slower market, and more price reductions.”

“Mortgage rate relief has not arrived as quickly as many expected,” adds Realtor.com economist Jiayi Xu. “But the recent downward trend is encouraging news for homebuyers who have been hindered by high rates.”

The 10-year Treasury fell last week on better than expected inflation readings, and rates also fell by 7 basis points on a year-over-year basis—the first such decline in nearly three years.

“Fortunately, June’s more moderate jobs report and cooling [consumer price index] were solid readings that should help the Fed gain more confidence that the economy is moving in the right direction and could raise hopes for a rate cut signal in the July FOMC statement,” Xu explains.

Xu says this development should help interest rates, including mortgage rates, continue to drop, especially if the economy keeps making progress.

Home prices remain flat

In June, the median home cost $445,000.

Listing prices were flat year over year for the week ending July 13, and marked 25 consecutive weeks of price growth below 1%.

Yet since the median price per square foot grew in June by 3.4%, McLaughlin says, “buyers shouldn’t necessarily rejoice just yet.”

“Price growth per square foot continues to be positive, suggesting homes are still more expensive than they were last year,” he explains.

Housing stock is up

The number of homes actively for sale continued to grow, with buyers seeing 35.8% more listings for the week ending July 13 than last year.

For the 36th straight week in a row, there were more homes listed for sale versus the previous year.

Fresh listings were also up by 8.8% for the week ending July 13 compared with 12 months ago.

New listings have increased 14 out of the past 15 weeks—which McLaughlin says should help keep prices in check.

“Looking ahead, we expect the rising inventory to gradually exert downward pressure on price growth and falling mortgage rates to help lower borrowing costs, providing more relief to potential homebuyers,” McLaughlin says.

While the number of newly listed homes increased by 6.3% annually in June, this rate is roughly half of what it was two months ago. And buyers still see more than 30% fewer homes for sale compared with before the COVID-19 pandemic.

“Broadly speaking, the number of new homes for sale remains historically low and is still below the 2017 to 2022 levels, even with recent improvements,” says McLaughlin.

Although buyers might see more houses on the market this summer than last, they will ultimately have fewer options than were typical before 2023.

The pace of home sales slows

The typical home spent 45 days on the market in June.

For the week ending July 13, the average home for sale spent five more days on the market compared with the same period last year.

This ties with last week, marking the longest additional time on the market since August 2023, according to McLaughlin.

“A longer time on the market means buyers won’t have to move as quickly as last year, while sellers will need to be more patient,” says McLaughlin.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

3469 River Pointe Dr, Eugene, OR 

Price: $1,169,000    Beds: 4    Baths: 3.2    Sq Ft: 3363

This is a Gorgeous and extremely well kept home in the highly sought after River Pointe neighborhood of North Gilham. This home not only has many high end extras, but it has a floor plan that suits many lifestyles. The spacious Primary Bedroom is on... View this property >> 

 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Rates Dipped And Homes Are Sitting On The Market Longer

by Galand Haas

Good Monday Morning!

Some good news for homebuyers has finally arrived. Mortgage rates took a slight dip last week, and this is welcome news for anyone looking to purchase a home. Homes listed for sale are also beginning to take longer to sell, and price reductions are beginning to become the rule and not the exception. This could possibly indicate a further slowing of home sales, and lower-priced homes could be the new trend. Here in the Eugene and Springfield market area, we are seeing many homes that sold quickly just a few months ago sit and have to reduce the asking price to attract buyer interest. Home showings across the board have slowed significantly over the past few weeks as well. My guess is that this indicates a major market shift is under way. Stay tuned, because anything is possible right now. The following is a national Real Estate market update from "Realtor.com".

Mortgage rates fell this week, with the average rate for a 30-year fixed home loan going from 6.95% last week to 6.89% for the week ending July 11, according to Freddie Mac.

“Following June’s jobs report, which showed a cooling labor market, the 10-year Treasury yield decreased this week, and mortgage rates followed suit,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said in a statement.

Despite the drop, the stubbornly high interest rates over the past months have largely left the market in limbo as buyers and sellers hit the pause button.

Yet one key metric shifted for the first time in almost two months: Home prices fell 1.1 % year over year for the week ending July 6, after nine weeks of steady or rising prices.

However, this buyer-friendly good news might be short-lived.

While this decrease might provide some relief to homebuyers, it could be a temporary shift due to Independence Day unless further data can provide persistent evidence of a new trend,” says Realtor.com® economist Jiaya Xu in her latest analysis.

Here’s a breakdown of the latest housing market data and what it means for homebuyers and sellers in our latest installment of “How’s the Housing Market This Week?

Lower mortgage rates predicted

Though the rate has not risen above 7% for six weeks now, that number is still too high for many would-be buyers who are hanging back until rates fall even further.

However, if the economy and job market continue to improve, the Federal Reserve might decide to cut rates, causing mortgage rates to follow this downward path. (While mortgage rates are distinct from Fed rates, they tend to reflect the same patterns.)

“This means buyers may see lower mortgage rates in the second half of 2024 and be more likely to jump back into the market,” Xu explains.

Realtor.com senior economist Ralph McLaughlin agrees that mortgage rates should slowly decline throughout the rest of the year and into 2025.

“The downward trend will certainly be welcome news to homebuyers, who have been stymied by high rates and low inventory,” he says. “Falling mortgage rates should help lower monthly mortgage payments for new borrowers.”

While this decrease might provide some relief to homebuyers, it could be a temporary shift due to Independence Day unless further data can provide persistent evidence of a new trend,” says Realtor.com® economist Jiaya Xu in her latest analysis.

Here’s a breakdown of the latest housing market data and what it means for homebuyers and sellers in our latest installment of “How’s the Housing Market This Week?

Lower mortgage rates predicted

Though the rate has not risen above 7% for six weeks now, that number is still too high for many would-be buyers who are hanging back until rates fall even further.

However, if the economy and job market continue to improve, the Federal Reserve might decide to cut rates, causing mortgage rates to follow this downward path. (While mortgage rates are distinct from Fed rates, they tend to reflect the same patterns.)

“This means buyers may see lower mortgage rates in the second half of 2024 and be more likely to jump back into the market,” Xu explains.

Realtor.com senior economist Ralph McLaughlin agrees that mortgage rates should slowly decline throughout the rest of the year and into 2025.

“The downward trend will certainly be welcome news to homebuyers, who have been stymied by high rates and low inventory,” he says. “Falling mortgage rates should help lower monthly mortgage payments for new borrowers.”

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

766 S 47th Pl, Springfield, OR 

Price: $799,900    Beds: 3    Baths: 2.5    Sq Ft: 2840

This beautifully updated home is nestled on a private 3/4 acre lot with filtered views through the trees. Designed for either main level living or a great setup for separation of space with additional bedrooms and a bonus room upstairs and a large fam... View this property >> 

 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Good Monday Morning!

There is a slight bit of welcome news in the world of Real Estate. Mortgage interest rates have slowly trickled down slightly. In this housing market, any news like this is welcome. The lower mortgage interest rates will certainly help, but the other issues that continue to haunt the housing market are that home prices have not come down enough to make a real difference, and the overall national economy, along with inflation numbers, has not changed. This has led to a consumer confidence crisis that may stick around for a while. Never the less, home sales are still taking place in the Eugene and Springfield area and even though the market here may be slower than several months ago, I still believe that it is a good time to sell your home. The following is a recent article from "Realtor.com" that talks about where our national housing market is today.

Mortgage rates sank further this week, with the average rate for a 30-year fixed home loan falling from 6.87% last week to 6.86% for the week ending June 27, according to Freddie Mac.

“The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage continues to trend down, hitting the lowest level in almost three months,” Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said in a statement.

Despite the slight tick down, the consistently high mortgage rate has effectively put the housing market in a holding pattern for months, leaving potential buyers and sellers in limbo.

Real estate experts agree the market can’t seem to move forward lately, with economists at Bank of America remarking this week that the housing market is “stuck and we are not convinced it will become unstuck until 2026 … or maybe even later.”

A recent Gallup poll also found that just 21% of Americans think it’s a good time to buy a house—tied as the worst reading in the record’s history—while 76% said it’s a bad time to buy.

What will it take to jump-start the market? Significantly lower mortgage rates.

“Although mortgage rates continue to trend lower, the declines have not yet been big enough to have an impact on most housing metrics,” says Realtor.com® Chief Economist Danielle Hale in her latest analysis. “The key weekly data we track has been remarkably stable relative to the prior June, with pricing flat, listings up, and time on market somewhat slower.”

Here’s a breakdown of the latest housing market data and what it means for homebuyers and sellers in our latest installment of “How’s the Housing Market This Week?

The mortgage rate doldrums

Mortgage rates are on a continued long run of remaining stubbornly high.

The Federal Reserve, which was once poised to cut base interest rates three times this year, expressed reluctance to do so at its last meeting. (Though mortgage rates aren’t tied to interest rates, the two numbers generally move in the same direction.)

That leaves the future of mortgage rates teetering on coming economic reports. If inflation falls to a certain point, the Fed will likely cut rates. If inflation rises more than expected, rates will likely remain the same or perhaps even rise further.

“For home shoppers and sellers, peak mortgage rates are likely behind us, but the risk of volatility remains, complicating moving decisions,” says Realtor.com economist Jiayi Xu. “In addition, with only one rate cut expected before the end of 2024, relief may come too little and too late for many first-time homebuyers.”

Home prices remain unchanged

The median list price remained the same compared with the previous year for the week ending June 22, marking the fourth week in a row when the home list price matched the exact level as the prior year. (In May, the median home cost $442,500.)

The good news is that while the median home price remains high, according to Hale, there are “more abundant affordable options” on the listing pages these days.

“In recent months, a growing share of smaller homes on the market have helped keep the market median price in check even as the price per square foot continued to rise,” explains Hale.

Housing stock rises

One housing data point that did see real movement for the week ending June 22 was housing stock, with fresh listings rising by 7.4% compared with the year prior.

Overall, the total number of homes for sale (including newly listed and those that have lingered on the market) jumped 36.1% above year-ago levels, marking 33 weeks in a row with an increase in the number of listings.

“Seller activity is up compared to one year ago, but momentum has waned from recent weeks and earlier this year,” says Hale.

Indeed, active inventory in May was down more than 30% from typical pre-pandemic levels.

Getting more sellers to list their homes depends on when mortgage rates start to cool. Realtor.com analysis shows that 87% of outstanding mortgages have a rate below 6%, meaning many homeowners are reluctant to trade in a low rate for a higher one if they become buyers.

“If these homeowners sell, they are relinquishing relatively inexpensive debt for today’s roughly 7% mortgage rates, a costly proposition,” says Hale. “As rates ease, they will cause less drag on the ‘move or stay’ calculus, and we are likely to see an increase in seller interest.”

Homes are lingering longer

Real estate listings sat on the market longer for the week ending June 22 compared with this time last year.

“The typical home for sale spent two more days on the market this past week compared to last year, continuing the trend observed in recent weeks,” says Hale. “Longer time on market means selling may require more patience while buyers may have more time to make a decision, a buyer-friendly trend.”

Some buyers might be waiting out the market, hoping for lower mortgage rates and lower prices before they pounce.

Have An Awesome Week!

Stay Healthy! Stay Safe! Remain Positive! Trust in God!

THIS WEEKS HOT HOME LISTING!

5580 Tradition Alley, Eugene, OR 

Price: $477,500    Beds: 3    Baths: 2.0    Sq Ft: 1812

This single level home has been tastefully updated and is located in a quiet West Eugene neighborhood. Features include a newer 3-head ductless heat pump AC/heating system, a spacious living room, large bedrooms & a 2-car garage with built-in storag... View this property >> 

 

AND HERE'S YOUR MONDAY MORNING COFFEE!!

Displaying blog entries 1-4 of 4

Syndication

Categories

Archives

Contact Information

Photo of Haas Real Estate Team  Real Estate
Haas Real Estate Team
Keller Williams Realty Eugene and Springfield
2645 Suzanne Way Suite 2A
Eugene OR 97408
Direct: (541) 349-2620
Fax: 541-687-6411

Share This Page

Find Your Next Home

Homes for sale in the Eugene area are only a click away!